14:00 – Raucous
He hasn’t performed up to his best on his last two starts, but he hasn’t run badly and a mark of 102 is probably fair enough if he can put his best foot forward. He acts on any ground but a bit of give suits him well and he should be thereabouts if reproducing his early-season form for me. This is his trip.
14:35 – Rain Goddess
This is one tough, consistent and versatile filly. She is effective from 1m to 1m4f and handles any ground – though she would prefer decent ground I think – and she took a Group 1m1f here recently, just a fortnight after going over to America to contest the Beverly D. She may have been a touch fortunate there but a reproduction of that run, or any of her earlier efforts, should see her competitive once again.
Seventh Heaven was very impressive in the Jockey Club Stakes and is clearly the form filly – she is a dual Group 1 winner – but she is coming back from a break and would prefer faster ground. Smart Call is another class filly and she has to be feared, along with Sea Of Grace.
15:05 – Caravaggio
He clearly hasn’t reproduced the excellence of his Commonwealth Cup defeat of Harry Angel in his last two starts but there have been excuses, and in France last time I wasn’t hard on him at all as he was never enjoying it. He came back with sore feet which, trust me, is 100% accurate. If he turns up in the same mood as he was in at Ascot then I would hope that he has the class to take care of these.
I am fully aware that people think the step down to 5f is not ideal – he is up against some very fast sprinters like Caspian Prince, who beat Marsha last time, here – and maybe soft ground isn’t either, for all he won the Coventry on it, but hopefully his class will see him through against this level of opposition. He is a top-class sprinter, make no mistake.
15:40 – Clemmie
To be honest, I would be more than happy to get on any of Aidan’s five fillies in this. They are all exciting prospects in their own right but, with Alpha Centauri in here and a couple of once-raced maiden winners as well, this looks a red-hot race.
I wasn’t in the least bit surprised that Magical beat Happily and September in the Debutante last time – she gave me a very good feel on her debut – and then you have the Duchess Of Cambridge winner Clemmie and Ballet Shoes, who met a very good horse here last time, to consider, too. I genuinely find it hard to split them, but I ride Clemmie and Churchill’s full-sister will definitely appreciate the step up to 7f, although she has plenty of pace. She is probably the most precocious of them all, but if it got very soft then it could be a problem.
16:15 – Gustav Klimt
I was very impressed by him when he won his maiden over course and distance – the runner-up is a smart horse in his own right – and he did what I thought he would do in the Superlative Stakes last time, if not in the manner that I was expecting. To meet the trouble that he did that day, and still win, marks him down as a serious horse. I know the bare form isn’t the strongest and this will be the softest ground he has faced, but he’s a good colt.
Aidan has three other good colts in here and Gordon Elliott’s Beckford will be no pushover. His second to Sioux Nation in the Phoenix is strong form – US Navy Flag and Romanised have come out of the race and franked it – and he is a serious rival if staying this extra furlong.
16:50 – Order Of St George
I know he has lost some races people expected him to win, most notably in this one last year, but he really should take all the beating here. He came third in the Arc last season and a reproduction of either his Gold Cup second to Big Orange or his impressive defeat of Rekindling in the trial here last time should be good enough to see him home in front. And soft ground is no worry for him.
But official ratings tell you that he doesn’t have to underperform by a great deal, I suppose, and Dartmouth, who handled soft ground well in the Yorkshire Cup, could be the main beneficiary after his second for me in the Lonsdale last time.
Source:: Betfair — Irish Horse